B-Mets Pitching Getting It Done Lately | Astromets Mind

Thursday, July 16, 2015

B-Mets Pitching Getting It Done Lately


Michael Fulmer and Gabriel Ynoa have been leading the way for a revamped B-Mets pitching staff

The Binghamton Mets are 47-42 overall, but have a 19-12 record over their last 31 games played, and they have some great pitching to thank for their current run.

            Coming into the 2015 season, the Mets were considered to have a Top-5 farm system, with the Las Vegas 51s ranked the third most talented roster in the minor leagues by Baseball America, and much attention given to the overall pitching depth within the system. While there are interesting players throughout the system, the 51s and the PSL Mets appeared to have the most talented rosters coming out of spring training, although the B-Mets initial roster had some exciting names too. Still, the B-Mets were lacking Michael Fulmer, who was staying back in extended spring training to get to full health, and L.J. Mazzilli, who was suspended 50 games to start the season (for drugs of abuse, not PED’s), and we all knew Michael Conforto was not far off, so the B-Mets figured to finish the first half more talented than they started.
            The B-Mets actually got off to a great start, winning 14 of their first 22 games before hitting a May slide that spilled into June. They would play to a 14-22 record over their next 36 games to fall 2 games under .500 at 28-30. It didn’t help that they lost Brandon Nimmo to injury and T.J. Rivera to AAA in mid-May, and then lost Jayce Boyd to AAA in late May, but the biggest culprit over the first 2 months was the Binghamton pitching. While several starters weren’t performing to expectations, the bullpen was just dreadful, as you can see in Table 1 below.

Table 1 – B-Mets pitching stats prior to June 11th
B-Mets
IP
ERA
H
K
BB
HR/9
Starters
316.1
4.10
341
230
99
0.54
Relievers
191.1
5.22
196
173
88
0.47

Over the first 58 games, the B-Mets pen had 27 save opportunities, and blew 8 of them for a 70% conversion rate – they are 8-10 since – and were also responsible for 10 losses (they have taken 3 since). Even talented relievers start to falter when given too much work though, and the B-Mets starters were only lasting an average of ~5.5 innings/start during this stretch, which is too low.
And then suddenly, everybody starting clicking at the same time, with a start from Luis Cessa on June 11th kicking off the stretch – Cessa threw 6 scoreless in the Bowie series finale that day. Michael Fulmer followed with a great start that would be rain-shortened, and has been the Mets hottest pitcher since, with Gabriel Ynoa not far behind.
But the whole staff has stepped it up lately, as you can see from the starters stats listed in Table 2, and the reliever’s stats listed in Table 3.

Table 2 – B-Mets starters statistics since June 11th
Starters
IP (GS)
ERA
FIP
OPS
K%
BB%
HR/9
26 (4)
2.03
2.47
.614
18.1
5.7
0
37.1 (6)
0.48
1.79
.492
29.1
3.6
0.24
12 (2)
2.25
2.49
.649
18.0
6.0
0
6.1 (1)
4.26
4.82
.533
12.0
4.0
1.42
38 (6)
3.55
3.82
.712
12.7
7.6
0.47
34.2 (6)
3.63
3.58
.699
18.4
5.4
0.78
45.2 (6)
1.58
2.84
.424
12.0
1.2
0.20
Totals
200 (31)
2.30
2.90
.584
17.5
4.7
0.36

Table 3 – B-Mets reliever’s statistics since June 11th
Relievers
IP (G)
ERA
FIP
OPS
K%
BB%
HR/9
9 (9)
0.00
1.90
.198
38.7
12.9
0
12.2 (8)
4.26
3.00
.744
16.1
5.4
0
13.2 (11)
0.66
2.14
.412
27.8
9.3
0
1 (1)
0.00
6.24
.733
0.0
20.0
0
6.1 (7)
8.53
3.40
.647
23.3
16.7
0
6 (6)
1.50
4.40
.609
13.0
0.0
1.5
3 (3)
0.00
-0.10
.364J
45.5
0.0
0
8 (6)
2.25
2.49
.320
12.0
0.0
0
10.1 (8)
0.87
2.85
.417
36.1
8.3
0.87
Totals
70
2.19
2.71
.491
25.0
8.1
0.26

            Luis Cessa was since promoted to Las Vegas, but John Gant has taken over his production since returning to the rotation. Seth Lugo got off to a quick start (1.93 ERA over his first 6 starts/32.2 IP), hit a rough patch in late May/June (6.75 ERA over his next 5 starts/28 IP), but has made the necessary adjustments during this stretch (2.28 ERA over his last 4 starts/23.2 IP). Michael Gibbons wasn’t terrible in his spot start, and AA is a tall order for someone making his fourth professional start. After dominating in the Florida State League, Robert Gsellman has come up and stayed afloat with Binghamton, which is a good start after making the biggest jump in the minors – also, Tradition Field is a pitcher’s park, while NYSEG Stadium is pretty much fair.
            In the bullpen, Beck Wheeler’s turnaround started in mid-May, and he has a 0.49 ERA in his last 18.1 IP, with a .385 OPS allowed and 19 K: 6 BB. Adam Kolarek made a mechanical change in late April and has a 3.25 ERA/.507 OPS allowed in 36 IP since, but he had gone through a rough patch during the B-Mets May swoon. Matt Koch has actually allowed multiple runs for the first time as a reliever during this stretch, as he had a 0.42 ERA in his first 21.2 IP out of the bullpen. Paul Sewald and Jon Velasquez have been extremely reliable as the B-Mets closer, with Sewald taking over sole responsibility of the job when Velasquez has been with Las Vegas, and Velasquez taking it back over recently with Sewald at the Pan Am games. Dario Alvarez has shown huge L/R splits this year (.772 OPS vs. RHB/.399 OPS vs. LHB), but he’s been very consistent after allowing runs in 3 of his first 4 appearances, with 22 of 25 scoreless appearances since.
            As the second half begins, Michael Fulmer is scheduled to kick things off against the ‘rival’ Trenton Thunder Thursday night at 6:35 PM, looking to continue his dominant run. Rainy Lara is expected to return to the rotation in what is initially being called a 6-man rotation, but we’ll see how long that lasts, or at least how long these 6 stick there. Overall, the team had the 8th best team ERA in the Eastern League over the first half, and it’s a 12-team league, so that’s not great, but they’re still only 2.5 games behind the Thunder in their division. Moving forward, unless there are drastic changes to the rotation during the second half, the B-Mets should jump up the team ERA rankings, and that should help as they make a push to return to the Eastern League playoffs so they can defend the title.




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