Syndergaard's Secondary Stuff Wild in Loss to Isotopes (Pitch Sequence, Velocity) | Astromets Mind

Friday, August 8, 2014

Syndergaard's Secondary Stuff Wild in Loss to Isotopes (Pitch Sequence, Velocity)

Albuquerque Isotopes @ Las Vegas 51s


August 7, 2014



Teams
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

R
H
E
Abuquerque
0
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1

6
15
0
Las Vegas
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0

2
9
2
W: Bennett (6-6, 3.97 ERA); L: Syndergaard (8-6, 4.79 ERA)


The Highlights:

Pitchers

Syndergaard – 5 IP, 7 H, 4 R (2 ER), 4 BB, 4 SO, 102 Pitches (64 Strikes), 5 GO: 2 FO
Zack Thornton (3.83 ERA) – 1 IP, SO, 1 GO: 1 FO
Miguel Socolovich (3.65 ERA) – 0.2 IP, H, 2 SO, 2 IR – 1 S

Batters

Matt ∂en Dekker – 2-3, 2 2B (31), BB, SO
Matt Reynolds – 2-4
Kevin Plawecki – 1-4, R, 2B (5)
Cesar Puello – 2-3, R, 2B (14), RBI (30), BB

Recap:


            Noah Syndergaard could not control his secondary stuff Thursday night and the 51s offense was shutdown by Isotopes starter Jeff Bennett as Albuquerque took game 1 of a 5-game set. Offensively, the 51s have been getting plenty of offense from M∂D, Matt Reynolds and Cesar Puello lately, and all three contributed two hits Thursday. They had a number of chances to score but could not get the key big hits. Erik Goeddel came in for two innings of relief of Thor and was generally impressing the 51s radio booth of Russ Langer and Jerry Reuss, although the results were not great. Zack Thornton looked very strong and needed only 8 pitches to get through the 8th. Jack Leathersich came in and ran into trouble, retiring only 1 out of 3 batters he’d face before Miguel Socolovich took over with two runners on. Socolovich would allow a runner to score before finishing the inning, ballooning Leathersich’s ERA to 27.00 with AAA this year.
            Although the results have been better lately, Thor’s starts have become pretty predictable: establish the fastball a lot early, then sprinkle in change-ups and curveballs, but when in trouble, stick with the fastball. I’m not saying that’s a bad plan, but he does need to throw strikes for it to work. He had great control of his fastball Thursday night, but he had trouble blowing it past hitters. He was sitting 96-97 MPH with the fastball all night; hitters should be struggling to catch up to it, yet he only had four swinging strikes with the heat. Hitters were waiting on the heat and spitting on the secondary stuff – they swung at only 8 of 35 change-ups or curveballs, as only 6 of 27 secondary pitches taken were called strikes. In other words, he only threw the secondary stuff for strikes 40% of the time. I have seen a lot of people say that he has nothing left to learn at AAA, but what else is he doing at AAA if not learning how to pitch? Sure, his stuff is great – averaged a 96 MPH Fastball, 87 MPH Change-up, and 79 MPH Curveball last night – but he’s not using it well with consistency. True, it’s possible there is some PCL/environment effect, and maybe his stuff plays better in the majors – for example, Vic Black is having much more success with his fastball/curveball combo in the majors than he was in the PCL earlier in the year. That said, the consistent problem appears to be that AAA hitters are able to wait on his fastball until they can catch up with it and make good contact. Astromets Mind has been tracking his pitch sequences (see below) since mid-May and has compiled some tabular data here (looking to add earlier starts after the minor league season ends) – his fastball has allowed a .400+ BABIP, .170+ ISO and 35% line drive rate over the span.
            Goeddel was throwing some mid-90’s heat to go along with a slider in the low-80’s and a big curveball in the mid-to-upper 70’s. All three of those pitches can look very good at times, and his slider was consistently impressing Reuss last night, but he’s struggled with control and consistency throughout the season. I am hopeful that Leathersich can make the PCL adjustment this year, but he did not have a good debut or that long of a leash. M∂D keeps looking like a good option for an offensive upgrade on the Mets roster, and Puello has been hitting plenty when he’s played lately. On that front, Langer has mentioned multiple times that Backman plans to play Puello mostly everyday the rest of the season – makes you wonder if someone in the Mets front office finally said something to Backman about his playing time. Matt Reynolds continues to make a case for a September call-up and chance at SS, although I continue to read that he’s not likely to stick as a SS starter. His defense should be adequate and I love his line drive approach, but I understand the cause for concerns. He hasn’t shown much power this season (he’s had three ‘bursts’ and is better overall in the better hitting environment) and his strikeout rate increased/walk rate decreased at AAA.


           

Pitch Coverage:


Table 1 – Breaking down pitch count by type and inning           

Count (Strikes) – Average Speed
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
Total
Fastball
10 (6)
16 (13)
20 (14)
7 (6)
14 (11)
67 (50)ª
Change-up
0
2 (1)
3 (1)
2 (1)
5 (2)
12 (5)º
Breaking Ball
0
1 (0)
7 (4)
3 (1)
12 (4)
23 (9)†
Total
10 (6)
19 (14)
30 (19)
12 (8)
31 (17)
102 (64)
ª96.4 MPH on 61 Fastballs; ª87.3 MPH on 12 Change-ups; †79.3 MPH on 21 Curveballs

Table 2 – Breaking down pitch results by type


Strike %
Total
Call
Sw
Foul
BIP%
LD
GB
FB
PU
Results
AB
BABIP
ISO
K
Fastball
74.6
14.9
6.0
29.9
31
38
19
13
17
.438
.118
1
Change-up
41.7
16.7
8.3
16.7
0
0
0
0
0
-
-
0
Breaking Ball
39.1
17.4
8.7
13.0
0
0
0
0
3
-
-
3


Speeds from the Cashman Field scoreboard
*Had no speed on the scoreboard

1st inning

1)   SS Darwin Barney flied out to deep LF (7/F)
a.     96 MPH Fastball, low – ball 1-0
b.     95 MPH Fastball – strike 1-1
c.      96 MPH Fastball, low – ball 2-1
d.     97 MPH Fastball – foul 2-2
e.     97 MPH Fastball
2)   CF Joc Pederson hit a grounder to Muno (43/G)
a.     96 MPH Fastball, low – ball 1-0
b.     95 MPH Fastball, inside – ball 2-0
c.      97 MPH Fastball
3)   C Tim Federowicz popped out to Muno in the OF grass (4/P)
a.     Fastball, inside corner – strike 0-1*
b.     Fastball*

2nd inning

1)   1B Clint Robinson looped a single into LF (S7/L)
a.     94 MPH Fastball – foul 0-1
b.     89 MPH Change-up, low – ball 1-1
c.      88 MPH Change-up – strike 1-2
d.     95 MPH Fastball – foul 1-2
e.     96 MPH Fastball
2)   LF Brock Peterson reached 2B on an error by Cesar Puello – he dropped the ball as he hit the wall in LF (E7/F)
a.     95 MPH Fastball, inside corner at the knees – strike 0-1
b.     95 MPH Fastball, low and outside – ball 1-1
c.      96 MPH Fastball – swinging strike 1-2
d.     79 MPH Curveball, bounced – ball 2-2
e.     96 MPH Fastball, inside – ball 3-2
f.      96 MPH Fastball
3)   2B Alex Guerrero reached on a fielder’s choice grounder to Satin, who got Robinson out at home (FC52/G)
a.     96 MPH Fastball, at the knees – strike 0-1
b.     97 MPH Fastball, inside – ball 1-1
c.      96 MPH Fastball
4)   3B Jamie Romak reached on an infield single by lining the ball off of Syndergaard and deflecting beyond the 1B line – Peterson scored (S1/L)
a.     96 MPH Fastball – foul 0-1
b.     96 MPH Fastball, inside – foul 0-2
c.      Fastball*
5)   RF Mike Baxter hit a chopper at Muno near the bag to start a 4-6-3 double play (463/G)
a.     97 MPH Fastball, outside corner – strike 0-1
b.     97 MPH Fastball

3rd inning

1)   P Jeff Bennett walked (BB)
a.     95 MPH Fastball, at the knees – strike 0-1
b.     96 MPH Fastball, high – ball 1-1
c.      96 MPH Fastball – foul 1-2
d.     96 MPH Fastball, way high – ball 2-2
e.     97 MPH Fastball, high – ball 3-2
f.      97 MPH Fastball – ball 4
2)    Barney struck out looking (K/Lo)
a.     96 MPH Fastball, very high – ball 1-0
b.     96 MPH Fastball – foul 1-1
c.      96 MPH Fastball – foul 1-2
d.     97 MPH Fastball, low – ball 2-2
e.     81 MPH Curveball – called strike 3
3)   Pederson lined a single into CF (S8/L)
a.     97 MPH Fastball – foul 0-1
b.     96 MPH Fastball
4)   Federowicz popped out to Muno – infield fly rule (4/P)
a.     96 MPH Fastball, up and in – foul tip 0-1
b.     96 MPH Fastball
5)   Robinson walked (BB)
a.     88 MPH Change-up – ball 1-0
b.     97 MPH Fastball – foul 1-1
c.      98 MPH Fastball – foul 1-2
d.     80 MPH Curveball, low – ball 2-2
e.     87 MPH Change-up – foul 2-2
f.      78 MPH Curveball, outside – ball 3-2
g.     97 MPH Fastball – foul 3-2
h.     86 MPH Change-up, up and away – ball 4
6)   Peterson lined a double into the left-center field gap that scored two. (D7/L) Robinson was thrown out at home (7-6-2)
a.     79 MPH Curveball – strike 0-1
b.     79 MPH Curveball – foul 0-2
c.      97 MPH Fastball, inside – foul 0-2
d.     78 MPH Curveball, away – foul 0-2
e.     78 MPH Curveball, low – ball 1-2
f.      97 MPH Fastball – foul 1-2
g.     97 MPH Fastball

4th inning

1)   Guerrero ‘rocketed’ a single back up the middle (S8/G)
a.     97 MPH Fastball, low – ball 1-0
b.     96 MPH Fastball
2)    Romak broke his bat on a weak groundout to Reynolds to start a double play (643/G)
a.     79 MPH Curveball, bounced and outside – ball 1-0
b.     95 MPH Fastball
3)   Baxter lined a single into RF (S9/L)
a.     88 MPH Change-up – swinging strike 0-1
b.     97 MPH Fastball, inside corner at the knees – strike 0-2
c.      79 MPH Curveball, low – ball 1-2
d.     87 MPH Change-up, outside – ball 2-2
e.     97 MPH Fastball, inside
4)   Bennett struck out swinging (K/Sw)
a.     97 MPH Fastball – swinging strike 0-1
b.     98 MPH Fastball – swinging strike 0-2
c.      79 MPH Curveball, low and away – swinging strike 3

5th inning

1)   Barney hit a chopper to Satin (53/G)
a.     Fastball, outside corner – strike 0-1*
b.     Curveball, low – ball 1-1*
c.      Curveball, bounced and outside – ball 2-1*
d.     Fastball – foul 2-2*
e.     Fastball, outside – ball 3-2*
f.      97 MPH Fastball, inside
2)    Pederson walked (BB)
a.     87 MPH Change-up, inside – ball 1-0
b.     86 MPH Change-up, outside – ball 2-0
c.      88 MPH Change-up, high – ball 3-0
d.     97 MPH Fastball, outside – ball 4
*Pickoff attempt from Syndergaard was thrown away (high) before a pitch was thrown, allowing Pederson to go to 3B
3)   Federowicz hit an RBI double that one-hopped the wall in right-center field (D9/F)
a.     97 MPH Fastball- foul 0-1
b.     81 MPH Curveball, outside corner – strike 0-2
c.      81 MPH Curveball, outside corner – ball 1-2
d.     81 MPH Curveball, bounced – ball 2-2
e.     98 MPH Fastball
4)   Robinson struck out swinging (K/Sw)
a.     87 MPH Change-up, outside corner – strike 0-1
b.     87 MPH Change-up, inside – foul 0-2
c.      78 MPH Curveball – foul 0-2
d.     98 MPH Fastball – foul 0-2
e.     98 MPH Fastball, high – swinging strike 3
5)   Peterson walked (BB)
a.     80 MPH Curveball, bounced – ball 1-0
b.     80 MPH Curveball, bounced – ball 2-0
c.      97 MPH Fastball – foul 2-1
d.     78 MPH Curveball – strike 2-2
e.     78 MPH Curveball, low – ball 3-2
f.      81 MPH Curveball, low and away – ball 4
6)   Guerrero struck out swinging (K/Sw)
a.     97 MPH Fastball, outside corner at the knees – strike 0-1
b.     96 MPH Fastball, high and outside – ball 1-1
c.      97 MPH Fastball, ‘heart of the plate’ – strike 1-2
d.     97 MPH Fastball, foul – 1-2
e.     79 MPH Curveball – swinging strike 3






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