Astromets Mind: AA
Showing posts with label AA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label AA. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 19, 2016

Comparing Run Environments From the Majors to Rookie Ball


Average batters age by league for the 2015 season

Before we start evaluating prospects, we should get a sense of the offensive environments in which they played.

            Thanks to Fangraphs, we never have to guess how much a player’s performance is influenced by the league’s run environment; we just have to compare their wRC+ or ERA- (or other +/- stat) to the league average of 100. But Fangraphs only publishes advanced pitching statistics for the major leagues, so let’s take a step back and look at the league’s overall run environment before inspecting or comparing minor league pitcher’s stat lines. We really should be investigating league and park specific run environments regardless, but it has to be the starting point when there are no league-adjusted stats readily available.

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

B-Mets Bats K 14 Times While Being Shutout in Opener Against Akron


Binghamton Mets @ Akron Rubberducks

4/28/14

Tyler Pill @ Will Roberts


Teams
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

R
H
E
Binghamton
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
4
3
Akron
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
X

4
6
0


The Highlights:

Pitchers

Pill (L, 0-4) – 5 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 4 SO, 86 pitches, 53 strikes (62%), 19 batters faced, 5 groundouts, 3 fly outs

Chism – 2 IP, H, SO, 27 pitches, 15 strikes (56%), 7 batters faced, 2 groundouts, 2 fly outs

Batters

Matt Reynolds – 3-4, 3B, SO

 


Like the guy in the Pilgrim-Turkey suit (um?), the B-Mets would fall behind early and never catch up

Recap:

            In the first game of a three-game set in Akron, the Binghamton Mets sent RHP Tyler Pill against the Rubberducks RHP Will Roberts. Both starting pitchers were facing the team who beat them in their first start of the season, and while Tyler Pill was very good for five innings, Will Roberts (W, 3-2) was a little better over six, striking out seven B-Mets while giving up only two singles, a triple and a double. The triple was one of three hits on the night for SS Matt Reynolds, who has been the B-Mets hottest hitter (.389/.464/.458 in 84 PA’s), having now hit in fourteen straight games (25-52 in that span). Unfortunately for the B-Mets, the only other, non-Reynolds base runner they would get after Darrel Ceciliani led off the game with a walk was a single by Cory Vaughn in the 4th. With the shutout, the B-Mets have been held scoreless in twenty of their last twenty-one innings, with the exception being a nine-run outburst Sunday afternoon. The loss brings them to 12-9 on the season, 3rd place in their division.
            This game was a 1-0 pitcher’s duel from the start, with the B-Mets batters striking out at least once every inning except the 4th. Tyler Pill led off the bottom of the 1st with walks to the first two batters, before getting 3 straight groundballs. Unfortunately, B-Mets SS Reynolds is a little limited in his range, and just couldn’t get to the first of those groundballs, leading to an RBI single for Akron 3B Giovanny Urshela. That’s how things would stay until the bottom of the 8th, when LH relief pitcher Adam Kolarek would induce ground balls to the first two batters of the inning, which would both go for errors – one on Lawley, the other on Reynolds (his second of the game). After a sac bunt and intentional walk loaded the bases with one out, Kolarek would give up a two-run double on a line-drive into the RF corner. Kolarek would give up another bases loaded hit 3 batters later, before finally getting out of the inning by inducing a come-backer to the mound. All 3 runs he allowed in the inning were unearned.
            Tyler Pill was very sharp after those leadoff walks, striking out the side swinging in the 4th, and flashing some nice off-speed stuff throughout the game. He did not look tired in the 5th, but I assume he is on a pitch count of around 90 this early in the season and was already at 86 after 5. He induced weak contact all night and allowed only 3 hits in what had to be his best start of the season thus far. Hopefully this is a start Pill can build some confidence around, as he was looking like a good pitching prospect as recently as 2012, before a shoulder strain (from a Bennett lesion) caused 2013 to be a lost year, as he only made 4 April starts for Bingo. I am now excited to see how he follows this up.
            Bridging the gap between Pill and Kolarek was 2 good innings from TJ Chism. He gave up some solid contact to the first two batters he faced, but then got 2 pop ups, 2 grounders on the infield, and a swinging strikeout to end his outing.
            Near scare with respect to B-Mets C Plawecki in the second, after he took a foul ball off his arm and had the trainer come to check on him. He would be OK and stay in the game; he even threw out Akron CF Tyler Naquin trying to steal 2B in the 5th.
            The B-Mets continue their series with Akron Tuesday night with Hansel Robles scheduled to face off against Kyle Davies at 6:35 PM ET. Robles will be looking for a bounce back effort coming off a no-decision in his shortest outing last time out, the first time he had given up any runs this season. Overall, he has gotten by with a ridiculous 30.6% K-rate so far this season, including a 13.5% swinging K-rate (compared to 18.2% and 8.7% league averages) – aka 19 strikeouts in 14.2 IP. He’s also yet to give up a HR and only given up 10 hits so far. Unfortunately, he also has 10 walks early, so that will be something to keep an eye on. The New York Mets play the Phillies, so we’ll see how much of this game I get to watch, as my focus will be on 51s scheduled starter Rafael Montero after the Mets take care of the Phils.

Play By Play


1st inning

Top

1)   Darrell Ceciliani walked.
2)   Brian Burgamy flied out to LF. 7/F7
3)   Matt Reynolds struck out swinging. Ceciliani was running on the pitch and stole 2B – he had a great jump, Reynolds was kind of just casually walking in front of the catcher but didn’t interfere.
4)   Matt Clark flied out to deep CF – it was a nice, running catch at the warning track. 8/F8D
Totals:  BB, SB, SO, LOB

Bottom

1)    Tyler Naquin walked.
2)   Francisco Lindor walked.
3)   Giovanny Urshela hit a medium groundball up the middle for an RBI single into CF. Lindor was throw out at 3B, Urshela would end up at 2B. S8/L8
4)   Brian LaHair grounded out to 2B. 43/G4
5)   Joe Wendle grounded out to Clark. 31/G3
Totals: R, H, 2 BB, LOB

2nd inning

Top

1)   Cory Vaughn flied out to RF. 9/F9
2)   Kevin Plawecki struck out swinging.
3)   Jayce Boyd grounded out to 2B. 43/G4
Totals: SO

Bottom

1)   Bryson Myles strikes out swinging.
2)   Tony Wolters hit a hard grounder up the middle that deflected of the glove of Reynolds. E6/G6M
3)   Jordan Smith got under one to the warning track in RF. 9/F9D
4)   Ronny Rodriguez popped out to the 1B. 3/P3
Totals: E, SO, LOB

3rd inning

Top

1)   Dustin Lawley struck out swinging on a breaking ball.
2)   Travis Taijeron struck out swinging on a fastball at the knees.
3)   Ceciliani hit a medium grounder to 1B on the first pitch. 3u/G3
Totals: 2 SO

Bottom

1)   Naquin reached out and flared one off the end of the bat out to LF. 7/F7
2)   Lindor broke hit bat on a flare into shallow RF. S9/F9S
3)   Urshela hit a liner well out to right-center field. 9/L89
4)   LaHair hit a hard liner right at Clark. 3/L3
Totals: H, LOB

4th inning

Top

1)   Burgamy hit a medium roller to the left of the 2B, who just had enough range to get the ball, spin and throw onto 1B for the out. 43/G34D
2)   Reynolds hit a hard liner off the top of the SS, who had jumped and reached as high as he could to get it but needed another inch or two. S6/L6
3)   Clark popped out to shallow LF. 7/P7S
4)   Vaughn hit a sinking liner into LF. S7/L7S
5)   Plawecki hit a high fly ball out to CF. 8/F8
Totals: 2 H, 2 LOB

Bottom

1)   Wendle struck out swinging on a breaking ball.
2)   Myles swung through a 1-1 fastball before he struck out swinging on an 80 MPH 2-2 change-up.
3)   Wolters struck out swinging on a 3-2 off-speed pitch – was way out in front.
Totals: 3 SO

5th inning  

Top

1)   Boyd grounded out to 3B. 53/G5
2)   Lawley struck out swinging on a breaking ball that just dropped out of the zone – was a nasty pitch.
3)   Taijeron struck out looking at a 92 MPH fastball on the outside corner.
Totals: 2 SO

Bottom

1)   Smith hit a medium grounder up the middle that was backhanded by the 2B. 43/G4M
2)   Rodriguez hit a soft chopper behind the mound that 2B Burgamy charged, but it bounced off his wrist as he tried to rush the play. S4/G4MS
3)   Naquin hit a medium grounder up the middle that Burgamy was able to make a diving stop on and flip to 2B for the force out. 46/G4M
*Naquin was thrown out trying to steal 2B.
Totals: H, CS

6th inning

Top

1)   Ceciliani struck out swinging on a curveball in the dirt.
2)   Burgamy hit a soft grounder towards the SS hole that Lindor backhanded. 63/G56
3)   Reynolds hit a line drive into left-center field that rolled to the wall and he motored around the bases to get into 3B just ahead of the throw. 3B8/L78
4)   Clark hit a fly ball out to LF that Myley nearly misjudged badly, but was able to retreat on just in time to make the catch. 7/F7
Totals: H, 3B, SO, LOB

Bottom (Substitution: T.J. Chism pitching for Binghamton)

1)   Lindor hit a hard grounder into the hole that Reynolds was able to make a nifty backhanded play on. 63/G56
2)   Urshela flied out to the wall in CF. 8/F8D
3)   LaHair hit a high popup to SS. 6/P6
Totals: 15 Pitches

7th inning

Top (Substitution: Enosil Tejeda pitching for Akron)

1)   Vaughn struck out looking at a 96 MPH fastball on the outside.
2)   Plawecki flied out to CF. 8/F8
3)   Boyd struck out looking on a fastball further outside than to Vaughn.
Totals: 2 SO

Bottom

1)   Wendle hit a high fly ball near the LF line. 7/F7L
2)   Myles hit the first pitch right back at Chism. 13/G1
3)   Wolters hit a soft grounder over the mound that 2B Burgamy took a less than ideal route to get to and his throw to 1B would be a step too late. S4/G4MS
4)   Smith struck out swinging on an outside pitch – either a slider or a fastball.
Totals: H, SO, LOB

8th inning

Top (Substitution: Shawn Armstrong pitching for Akron)

1)   Lawley struck out looking at a big inside breaking ball.
2)   Taijeron struck out swinging at an inside, 92 MPH fastball.
3)   Ceciliani struck out swinging at a letter-high, 94 MPH fastball
Totals: 3 SO

Bottom (Substitution: Adam Kolarek pitching for Binghamton)

1)   Rodriguez hit a hard grounder that Lawley couldn’t handle – it deflected off his glove to the SS. E5/G5
2)   Naquin hit a grounder to Reynolds at SS that he couldn’t handle and would roll into LF. E6/G6
3)   Lindor hit a sac-bunt to 1B. 34/G3S
4)   Urshela was intentionally walked.
5)   LaHair lined a 2-RBI double to the RF corner. 2B9/L9LD
6)   Wendle grounded out to 2B. 43/G4M
7)   Myles got on base via a HBP.
(Substitution: Justin Toole running for Myles)
8)   Wolters lined an RBI single into LF. S7/L7L
9)   Smith grounded out back to the pitcher. 13/G1
Totals: 3 R, 2 H, BB, HBP, 2 E, 3 LOB

9th inning

Top (Substitution: Kyle Crockett pitching for Akron)

1)   Burgamy flied out to deep right-center field. 9/F89D
2)   Reynolds lined a single into LF. S7/L7
3)   Clark struck out looking.
4)   Vaughn struck out swinging.
Totals: H, 2 SO, LOB

Saturday, April 26, 2014

B-Mets Win Game One of Double-Header Behind Johnson's Bat and Bowman's Arm


Ring Galaxies


Binghamton Mets @ Erie SeaWolves


4/25/14


Matthew Bowman @ Jeff Ferrell


Teams
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

R
H
E
Binghamton
1
4
0
0
0
0
3
x
x
x
8
12
0
Erie
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
x
x
x
1
5
0


The Highlights:

Pitchers

Bowman (W, 3-0) – 5.1 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 2 SO, 3 BB, 84 pitches, 45 strikes (54%), 23 batters faced, 7 ground outs, 2 fly outs

Kolarek (S, 1) – 1.2 IP, 20 pitches, 12 strikes (60%), 5 batters faced, 3 ground outs, 1 fly out

Batters

Kyle Johnson – 3-4, 2 R, 3 RBI (8), 2B (5), HR (1)

Brian Burgamy – 2-4, R

Matt Reynolds – 1-2, R, RBI (5), 2 BB

Matt Clark – 2-4, R, 3 RBI (16), HR (6), SO

Recap:

            It was a beautiful day for baseball at Jerry Uht Park in Erie, Pa, so it worked out nicely that these two teams had a double header on tap after a rainout Friday night. The B-Mets got off to a quick start offensively in game 1 and never looked back. Matthew Bowman picked up his third win of the season despite less than stellar control, as Erie was unable to make much hard contact off of him. Kyle Johnson had the golden bat of the day, getting things started in the 1st and providing the big hit in the 2nd.
            Erie starter Jeff Ferrell looked on pace for a short outing as he struggled through a long, 35 pitch 2nd inning while the B-Mets batted around. However, aside from the double to Plaw, he didn’t actually give up a lot of hard contact in the inning – the HR barely got out and was off the end of Johnson’s bat. He’d settle down to strike out the last two hitters of the inning before working through the 3rd and 4th innings with 15 pitches.
            Meanwhile, Bowman was missing around the plate a lot all day, but not giving up any hard contact. He works rather quickly on the mound, often staring down the hitter in ready position as they step in, and shows his back to the batter when pitching out of the windup. Despite not missing by much, Erie batters were willing to just keep taking pitches for balls against Bowman, which drove his pitch count up some. His strikeouts came on down and in sliders to lefties, both very nice pitches.
With his pitch count getting higher in the 6th, and Erie threatening with runners on 1st and 2nd and one out, B-Mets manager Pedro Lopez decided to go to lefty Adam Kolarek, who would come in for the last 5 outs. Kolarek would get out of a tough jam in the 6th by getting Moya to pop out and Green to ground out, both to the most sure-handed fielder out there, Wilfredo Tovar. After Matt Clark added an insurance HR in the top of the 7th, Kolarek would make quick work of Erie in the 9th for his first save of the season.
Binghamton has Darin Gorski scheduled for game 2, ready to begin shortly after this game ended.

Play By Play


1st inning
Top
1)   Kyle Johnson hit a popup up to shallow RF that dropped in due to miscommunication between the 2B and the RF, as both backed off. 2B9/P9LS
2)   Brian Burgamy flied out to the LF corner. 7/F7LD
3)   Matt Reynolds lined an RBI single into right-center field. S8/L89
4)   Matt Clark popped out to 3B. 5/P5D
5)   Cory Vaughn popped out to 2B. 6/P4M
Totals: 1 R, 2 H, 1 2B, 1 LOB
Bottom
1)   Jamie Johnson hit a sharp grounder to 1B that was backhanded by Boyd, and then tossed onto Bowman for the out. 31/G3
2)   Jason Krizan hit a soft line drive for a single up the middle, just out of the reach of a diving Reynold. S8/L6M
3)   Eugenio Suarez flied out to RF. 9/F9
4)   Aaron Westlake lined out to CF. 8/L8
Totals: 1 H, 1 LOB
2nd inning
Top
1)   Kevin Plawecki hit a 0-2 line drive double to deep CF. 2B8/L78D
2)   Jayce Boyd fouled off a lot of pitches to get to a full count after falling behind 0-2. He then grounded the 9th pitch up the middle for a single. Plaw to 3B. S8/G6M
3)   Dustin Lawley flied out to shallow LF; too shallow for Plaw to tag up. 7/F7S
4)   Wilfredo Tovar pulled a hard grounder passed the 3B for an RBI single.
5)   Johnson flared a 3R-HR to LF on the first-pitch fastball – it just got out.
6)   Burgamy lined a single into CF. S8/L8S
7)   Reynolds walked.
8)   Clark struck out on a foul tip into the mitt.
9)   Vaughn struck out swinging at an outside fastball.
Totals: 4 R, 5 H, 2B, HR, BB, 1 LOB
Bottom
1)   Ramon Cabrera hit a medium grounder to Tovar on a 3-1 count. 43/G4
2)   Steven Moya flied out to left-center field on a 1-0 count. 7/F78
3)   Dean Green struck out swinging on a nasty 2-2 slider, down and in.

Totals: 1 SO
3rd inning
Top
1)   Plawecki popped up on the infield. 5/P15
2)   Boyd hit the first pitch on the ground weakly at the 2B. 43/G4
3)   Lawley hit a line drive off the end of the bat right at the LF. 7/F7
Totals: 9 Pitches
Bottom
1)   Francisco Martinez walked on a 3-2 pitch that sailed inside.
2)   Corey Jones flied out to RF. 9/F9
3)   Johnson lined an RBI double off the wall in right-center field on a 3-1 fastball. 2B8/89D
4)   Krizan lined out right at Tovar. 4/L4
5)   Suarez hit a soft grounder right at Reynolds for an easy out; Reynolds didn’t bother to charge it though. 63/G6
Totals: 1 R, 1 H, 1 2B, 1 BB, 1 LOB
4th inning
Top
1)   Tovar hit a line drive a step to the right of the 1B. 3/L3
2)   Johnson grounded out weakly on the first pitch, right at the 1B bag. 3u/G3
3)   Burgamy hit a sharp grounder towards 1B that was cut off with a diving stop by the 1B, who tossed to the pitcher in time for the out. 31/G3
Totals: 6 Pitches
Bottom
1)   Westlake hit a sharp grounder off the foot of Bowman, which deflected right to the 1B bag. 13/G1
2)   Cabrera hit a grounder back up the middle, handled cleanly by Reynolds. 63/G6M
3)   Moya flared one down the LF line for a double. 2B7/L7LS
4)   Green popped up on the infield. 6/P6
Totals: 1 H, 1 2B, 1 LOB
5th inning  
Top
1)   Reynolds hit a half-swing tapper for an easy out. 13/G13
2)   Clark flared a single just beyond the reach of the 3B. S7/L5D
3)   Vaughn hit a soft line drive for a single, as the ball just squeezed under the glove of the SS.
4)   Plawecki hit a routine double play ball to end the inning. 643/G6
Totals: 2 H, GIDP, 1 LOB
Bottom
1)   Martinez grounded weakly towards the SS hole. Reynolds rounded the ball as he charged to get his momentum towards 1B and get the runner by a step. 63/G56
2)   Jones struck out swinging on a low, inside breaking ball.
3)   Johnson walked on four pitches.
4)   Krizan tapped back to the mound. 13/G1
Totals: 1 BB, 1 SO, 1 LOB
6th inning
Top (Substitution: Nick Avila pitching for Erie)
1)   Boyd grounded out to 1B. 3u/G3
2)   Lawley grounded out back to the pitcher. 13/G1
3)   Tovar grounded out to 3B. 53/G5
Totals: 9 Pitches
Bottom
1)   Suarez lined a single into LF. S7/L7S
2)   Westlake hit a grounder into RF for a single. Suarez was thrown out trying to reach 3B. S9/G43
3)   Cabrera walked.
(Substitution: Adam Kolarek pitching for Binghamton)
4)   Moya popped out to 2B. 4/P4
5)   Green grounded out to 2B. 34/G4
Totals: 2 H, BB, 3 LOB
7th inning
Top
1)   Johnson lined a single into RF. S9/L9
*Picked off trying to steal 2B
2)   Burgamy grounded up the middle for a single to CF. S8/G6M
3)   Reynolds walked.
4)   Clark hit a 3R HR to LF.
5)   Vaughn walked.
6)   Plawecki flied out to RF. 9/F9
7)   Boyd grounded out to the SS for a force out. 64/G6
Totals: 3 R
Bottom
1)   Martinez flied out to RF. 9/F9
2)   Jones grounded out to the SS. 63/G6
3)   Johnson grounded out to the 2B. 43/G4
Totals: 13 Pitches, 1 Save
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